Active is: Conducting proprietary research

No big changes for corn and soybean planting in Brazil

Farmer looking at seedlings with tablet in hand


Access to credit, currency depreciation and changes in the government generally have not had a significant impact on corn and soybean farming in Brazil. Going forward, at least half of sources in each instance expect spending on nitrogen, phosphate, potash and farm equipment to remain flat compared to last year.

Grassroots® Research interviews with farmers in Brazil revealed that access to credit has not affected purchasing input in fertilizers, seeds and crop protection chemicals for nearly all nor farm equipment for three-fourths. Currency depreciation has not affected purchasing input in crop protection chemicals for nearly all sources, seeds and farm equipment for most, nor fertilizers for slightly more than three-fourths. Changes in the Brazilian government have not affected purchasing input in fertilizers, crop protection chemicals and seeds for nearly all nor farm equipment for most. 

When asked about the impact of tariffs, slightly less than one-fourth of sources said the recent increase in soybean prices due to China’s tariffs on US soybeans has not affected purchases of fertilizers, crop protection chemicals and farm equipment.

As to spending for nitrogen, slightly more than half of sources expect it to remain flat compared to last year, while slightly less than one-fourth expect it to increase, and one-fifth expect it to decrease. For phosphate, three-fifths expect spending to remain flat, while one-fourth expect it to decrease, and a few expect it to increase. For potash, half of sources expect spending to remain flat, while slightly more than one-fourth expect it to increase, and slightly less than one-fourth expect it to decrease. For farm equipment, slightly less than three-fourths expect spending to remain flat, while a few expect it to increase, and a few expect it to decrease.




Grassroots® Research is a division of Allianz Global Investors that commissions investigative market research for asset-management professionals. Research data used to generate Grassroots® Research reports are received from independent, third-party contractors who supply research that, subject to applicable laws and regulations, may be paid for by commissions generated by trades executed on behalf of clients.


Active is: analysing economic indicators

Should we fear an inverted yield curve?


All US recessions since 1970 have been predicated by a yield-curve inversion – but despite slowing growth, we don’t expect a recession in the next 12 months. Plus, years of ultra-low rates could make this inversion less significant than others. Investors can still find opportunities to earn income and potential return.

Key takeaways

  • Although inverted yield curves have been fairly reliable predictors of US recessions, since 1980, the average lead time from inversion to recession has been lengthy (13 months)
  • Equity markets can do quite well in the post-yield-curve-inversion, pre-recession period: the S&P 500 Index returned 10% on average after four of the last five inversions
  • For nearly a decade, yields have been ultra-low and the yield curve has been relatively flat; this may make inversion less meaningful this time around
  • The “hunt for income” is becoming critical; risk assets may offer attractive income and return potential, and help investors guard against inflation
  • Investing involves risk. The value of an investment and the income from it will fluctuate and investors may not get back the principal invested. Investing in the water-related resource sector may be significantly affected by events relating to international political and economic developments, water conservation, the success of exploration projects, commodity prices and tax and other government regulations. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This is a marketing communication. It is for informational purposes only. This document does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security and shall not be deemed an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any security.

    The views and opinions expressed herein, which are subject to change without notice, are those of the issuer or its affiliated companies at the time of publication. Certain data used are derived from various sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy or completeness of the data is not guaranteed and no liability is assumed for any direct or consequential losses arising from their use. The duplication, publication, extraction or transmission of the contents, irrespective of the form, is not permitted.

    This material has not been reviewed by any regulatory authorities. In mainland China, it is used only as supporting material to the offshore investment products offered by commercial banks under the Qualified Domestic Institutional Investors scheme pursuant to applicable rules and regulations. This document does not constitute a public offer by virtue of Act Number 26.831 of the Argentine Republic and General Resolution No. 622/2013 of the NSC. This communication's sole purpose is to inform and does not under any circumstance constitute promotion or publicity of Allianz Global Investors products and/or services in Colombia or to Colombian residents pursuant to part 4 of Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication does not in any way aim to directly or indirectly initiate the purchase of a product or the provision of a service offered by Allianz Global Investors. Via reception of his document, each resident in Colombia acknowledges and accepts to have contacted Allianz Global Investors via their own initiative and that the communication under no circumstances does not arise from any promotional or marketing activities carried out by Allianz Global Investors. Colombian residents accept that accessing any type of social network page of Allianz Global Investors is done under their own responsibility and initiative and are aware that they may access specific information on the products and services of Allianz Global Investors. This communication is strictly private and confidential and may not be reproduced. This communication does not constitute a public offer of securities in Colombia pursuant to the public offer regulation set forth in Decree 2555 of 2010. This communication and the information provided herein should not be considered a solicitation or an offer by Allianz Global Investors or its affiliates to provide any financial products in Brazil, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay. In Australia, this material is presented by Allianz Global Investors Asia Pacific Limited (“AllianzGI AP”) and is intended for the use of investment consultants and other institutional/professional investors only, and is not directed to the public or individual retail investors. AllianzGI AP is not licensed to provide financial services to retail clients in Australia. AllianzGI AP (Australian Registered Body Number 160 464 200) is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian Foreign Financial Service License under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) pursuant to ASIC Class Order (CO 03/1103) with respect to the provision of financial services to wholesale clients only. AllianzGI AP is licensed and regulated by Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission under Hong Kong laws, which differ from Australian laws.

    This document is being distributed by the following Allianz Global Investors companies: Allianz Global Investors U.S. LLC, an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission; Allianz Global Investors Distributors LLC, distributor registered with FINRA, is affiliated with Allianz Global Investors U.S. LLC; Allianz Global Investors GmbH, an investment company in Germany, authorized by the German Bundesanstalt für Finanzdienstleistungsaufsicht (BaFin); Allianz Global Investors (Schweiz) AG; Allianz Global Investors Asia Pacific Ltd., licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission; Allianz Global Investors Singapore Ltd., regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore [Company Registration No. 199907169Z]; Allianz Global Investors Japan Co., Ltd., registered in Japan as a Financial Instruments Business Operator [Registered No. The Director of Kanto Local Finance Bureau (Financial Instruments Business Operator), No. 424, Member of Japan Investment Advisers Association and Investment Trust Association, Japan]; and Allianz Global Investors Taiwan Ltd., licensed by Financial Supervisory Commission in Taiwan.