AI and productivity: research paper
AI hasn’t boosted productivity (yet) – what could it do for returns?
While artificial intelligence (AI) may not yet be improving productivity (according to the figures), investors should be active in identifying future winners – and move fast.
Key takeaways
- AI is widely expected to have a transformative impact on a variety of sectors, but so far we have seen little sign of a boost to productivity growth.
- Historically, the link between technological innovation and economic and productivity growth has been much weaker than perceived by consensus: the time lags between innovation and higher productivity growth can be very long.
- Our research shows investing in the stocks of technology leaders does, on average, pay off in the long run – particularly when valuations are kept in mind.
- With technology adoption getting ever faster, investors have less and less time to assess the impact of innovations and identify winning sectors and companies.